The 3,000…? December 11, 2007Posted by shubber in distracting PR, gauntlet being dropped, hot air, Manned Space, smack talk, space tourism, suborbital tourism.
I often have emails forwarded to me by friends who are members of discussion groups which I have not been invited to because I am, perhaps, a bit too pragmatic for the kool-aid being served… a recent email which found it’s way to my inbox had an interesting quote/forecast buried in it which I thought I would bring to light, for obvious reasons.
Apparently, in 2004, Burt Rutan made the following predictions:
1) Within 5 years 3,000 tourists will have been to space.
2) Within 15 years sub-orbital tourism will be affordable, and 50,000
people will have flown.
3) Within 15 years the first, expensive orbital tourist flights will
4) Within 25 years orbital tourism will be affordable.
Regarding item #1 – with only 385 shopping days until Jan 1, 2009, that’s not looking so promising.
Or, to take a line from one of my favorite books, The Restaurant at the End of the Universe:
Max Quordlepleen: And lastly, a party of devout believers from the Church of the Second Coming of the Great Prophet Zarquon. Still waiting for the Second Coming? Well, fellows, let’s hope he hurries. He’s got eight minutes left. (Laughter) No, but seriously, no offense meant. I know one shouldn’t make fun of deeply-held beliefs. So, I think, a great big hand for the Great Prophet Zarquon (applause) – wherever he’s got to.